{"id":200,"date":"2021-09-25T17:25:01","date_gmt":"2021-09-25T22:25:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/?p=200"},"modified":"2021-09-25T17:25:03","modified_gmt":"2021-09-25T22:25:03","slug":"perverse-incentives","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/?p=200","title":{"rendered":"Perverse Incentives"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two events cause sick people to stop taking medicine:  they die, or they&#8217;re cured. The incentive for the medical industry is to prevent both of those events.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A little <em>gedankenexperiment<\/em>:  Imagine you are an executive in the medical industry, say a pharmaceutical research company. You probably believe that, given time and a whole lot of money your company could solve any medical problem. If you didn&#8217;t, you probably wouldn&#8217;t have that job. But you know that time and money are not infinitely available, and you take seriously the responsibility to &#8220;get the most bang for the buck&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One of the medical problems you&#8217;re looking at is something like the flu or pneumonia. It&#8217;s a serious medical problem, e.g., top 10 leading cause of death. In any given year, say 5 or 10% of the population get at least a mild case, 5 or 10% of those cases are severe, and 5 or 10% of severe cases are fatal. Some people get at least a mild case say 20 or 30 times in a lifetime, but many people get it once, twice, or never in their lives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you can create a cure with acceptable side effects you can sell it to about 5 or 10% of the population every year. If you can create a &#8220;once and done&#8221; vaccine, you can sell it to nearly 100% of the population just once each. If you can only create a vaccine that needs a booster every year, you can probably sell it to about 50% of the population every year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Do you see the problem?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Two events cause sick people to stop taking medicine: they die, or they&#8217;re cured. The incentive for the medical industry is to prevent both of those events. A little gedankenexperiment: Imagine you are an executive in the medical industry, say a pharmaceutical research company. You probably believe that, given time and a whole lot of &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/?p=200\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Perverse Incentives<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-200","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=200"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":201,"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/200\/revisions\/201"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=200"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=200"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.talent-free-studios.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=200"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}